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US Open 2019 Special Bets: Back Sergio to miss the cut and more

US Open 2019 Special Bets: Back Sergio to miss the cut and more

With just a day to go before the year’s third major, the US Open (previewed here), I’ve had a good look at the plethora of side markets on offer this week and I’ve found a few little gems.

First up, to the Miss the Cut market, where we find Sergio Garcia at 13/8. He hasn’t made the weekend at a major championship since he finished tied for 37th at the 2017 Open Championship. His Pebble form is ordinary so another sulky display could be on the cards and he could easily miss the cut for a seventh major in-a-row.

Brooks Koepka won the US PGA Championship wire-to-wire last month, which I backed at 9/1, and both Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods have won the US Open at Pebble Beach wire-to-wire, so I was hoping to place that wager again but that market’s missing this time around. That might not be a bad thing though.

Only the very elite players are capable of leading all the way at a major and the Sportsbook has priced them up individually to Lead After Every Round so I’m backing two of my pre-event picks that have an early start on Thursday – Dustin Johnson at 60/1 and Jordan Spieth at 100/1. And I’m glad to see Dave Tindall’s tipping up Jordan in his First Round Leader column.

Dave also fancies Shane Lowry to get off to a fast start and I can’t argue with that either. Lowry is one of three Irishman in the field this week and they all have strong claims. Rory McIlroy won with authority in Canada on Sunday, Lowry finished runner-up to Rory and in tied eighth, earning himself a place (at last!) in this year’s Open Championship in his hometown, was the 2010 US Open winner at Pebble Beach, Graeme McDowell. If you scroll down to the #OddsOnThat section you’ll find 11/8 about those three making the cut and that looks more than fair to me.

Europeans have a more than decent record at US Opens at Pebble Beach and one that’s flying under the radar this week is Austria’s Bernd Wiesberger, who was the first alternative after the qualifying heat at Walton Heath last week. Bernd spent much of last year off with injury but he’s back with a bang and I don’t really understand why he’s been so dismissed here. He won the Made In Denmark on his penultimate start and he looked like the man to beat at the Belgian Knockout the following week before losing in the quarter-finals to the eventual winner, Guido Migliozzi.

Bernd Wiesberger in Belgium (720).jpg

The Austrian is a very good links player with a very smart all-round game and I expect him to take to the venue. He’s running free after his recent win and subsequent last-minute inclusion in the field and he has a nice early tee time on Thursday. I’ve added him to my bets in the win market on the exchange at a whopping [650.0], I’ve also backed him in the top-10, top-20 and top-30 markets and I’ve played him each-way in the Top Continental European market, where the Spanish contingent look opposable.

And finally, I like to find a market with what I perceive to be a weak short priced favourite and with Hideki Matsuyama making his Pebble Beach debut this week, the Top Asian could be the one. Second favourite, Si Woo Kim, and Thailand’s Kiradech Aphibarnrat both appeal as alternatives but the one I like is one of Dave Tindall’s outright fancies, C.T Pan.

I’ll be back on Friday with the In-Play Blog.

*You can follow me on Twitter @SteveThePunter

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