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Newmarket July Festival Day 2 Tips:  A quartet of selection at HQ and York

Newmarket July Festival Day 2 Tips: A quartet of selection at HQ and York

Newmarket Trader can help us to a profitable start

There is undoubtedly a laziness element to sticking with the same horse come-what-may, but I make no apologies in giving The Trader another chance in the opening 1m2f handicap at Newmarket.

He is not exactly a “cliff” horse – though we will get on to a couple of those in a minute! – but I sided with him last time when second at Epsom, and I have no doubt that he remains a well-handicapped horse off just a 1lb higher mark here.

The 4½-length winner Le Don De Vie was subsequently sold for £460,000 at the eve-of-Royal Ascot sale and is presumably now in warmer climes, and The Trader was the only one able to give him a race before weakening and narrowly holding for second, hanging left into the bargain close home.

It again looked like something was ailing him there – he had also wandered around when runner-up at Chelmsford – so I think the gelding operation that he has had since Epsom could be the making of him.

If that does the trick, then I think this is a 3yo with a lot more to give.

FlatRaceActionFinish1280.JPG

He had previously caught the eye when making a big move 3f out when fifth in the Newbury handicap won by Headman – his jockey went too early there – and hopefully it comes together here, sans cojones.

Back him at [11.0] or bigger. His trainer has won this race for five of the last six years.

I can fully see the case for his stablemate Oasis Prince stepping up in trip and the well-regarded Solid Stone (a disappointment when ninth in that Headman race), but just the one play for me.

Wind can blow rivals away at a big price

As is usual when it comes to 2yo races, I don’t have a betting opinion in a cracking Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes at 14:25 so we can move on there to the 18-runner 1m6f handicap, tout suite.

Can you tell I passed my French O level a year early?

This race features one of my cliff horses of 2019, Grandee, but I am not going anywhere near him here.

I don’t have any problem with Ben Vrackie heading the market – though the money this week for Secret Advisor leaves me colder, for all the step up in trip will suit after his comeback run over 1m4f at Royal Ascot – or the likes of Caliburn at a single-figure price.

But I am going to take a chance on the stamina of Desert Wind at [21.0] or bigger in the 15:00.

His pedigree suggests he shouldn’t be staying 1m4f, let alone the 1m6f of this contest, but he certainly stayed the former trip really well at Kempton last time, when scything through the field up the straight and staying on strongly to see off Big Kitten.

A 5lb rise for the impressive success looks fair enough and he really did see the 1m4f out well there.

I would imagine patient tactics will be employed from his inside draw in one here – though he doesn’t want to get too far back – and I think he is a big runner, and a big price, if he does last home.

He ran well when fourth in the hot 1m2f handicap won by Communique at this meeting last year – Zaaki and Beringer filled the places – and Ed Vaughan has his horses in good form.

Big outsider also worth chancing

I was going to leave it there for that race but Platitude is a huge price at [40.0] or bigger and he is getting some of my money.

He was a very good stayer in 2016 and 2017, rated 108 at his peak when he numbered two good efforts at this track, and he now finds himself rated just 97 after his comeback run.

He did finish last of six at Goodwood in May but I thought he shaped very well there and he wasn’t given a hard time of it on his first since September, or beaten far.

The fact that we haven’t seen him since then possibly suggests an issue or two, but this is his second start after a winter wind-op, and he has gone well fresh in the past.

Off his falling mark, over his ideal trip and ground, he is worth a poke at the price.

Nothing doing for me in the six-runner Group 1 Falmouth Stakes at 15:35 – One Master is the my idea of the winner, if you want to know – so over to York we go.

Dance can be King at York

There were too many on my short-list in the Group 3 Fillies race at 15:15 but Dance King looks well worth a bet at [13.0] or bigger in the 14:40.

He proved he stayed this trip well when winning at Musselburgh last season and has several (from a fair few attempts, admittedly) good runs to his name at this track.

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And I thought he was a massive eye-catcher in the Cumberland Plate last time, where he never got any racing room and was not knocked about in the slightest up the straight.

The handicapper still dropped him 2lb for it, and he is now 6lb lower than for that Musselburgh win last June. He will do for me. Good luck.

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