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MLS Betting: New York derby drama and an Atlanta upset

MLS Betting: New York derby drama and an Atlanta upset

Trust in Caleb’s Columbus

Orlando City v Columbus Crew
Sunday, 00:30

Columbus Crew have lost all but one of their away games this season, last won an MLS game on May 8, and have now lost four in a row in the League, and yet something still tells me that they’re overpriced for their trip to Orlando this weekend.

Caleb Porter was openly angry after his team’s defeat by Seattle last weekend, as mistakes once again cost them, and even though Porter is a divisive figure among MLS fans, he’s still a good coach who will have spent all week desperately trying to find a solution to the current malaise.

The truth is that his team is probably not that far away from turning a corner and Orlando aren’t a particularly good side. They’ve lost two of their last three at home, and have got into the habit of looking good without getting the job done.

They did win at Columbus a couple of weeks ago, which of course points to them again here, but I have a feeling that the Crew will cope better away from the MAPFRE, as they’re coming in for a lot of criticism from a proud and passionate home support.

The Crew have good players, and while the playoffs might feel a long way away right now, they’re capable of turning their season around. I suppose to a degree I’m backing Caleb Porter here as well as his team, but either way, they look a big price.

Atlanta pointless in Seattle

Seattle Sounders v Atlanta United
Sunday, 20:55
Live on Sky Sports Football

We saw the good and bad of Atlanta United writ large last week in their crazy 3-3 draw against the New York Red Bulls. They can be blistering going forward but desperately frustrating at the back. Now they head for Seattle to try and take away the Sounders unbeaten record this season at Century Link Field.

Seattle are priced at around [2.12] for the win, and that seems to make sense to me. They bounced back to a measure of form last weekend with a 2-1 win at Columbus, showing real determination to come from behind and win, and now that they’re back at home, they should have too much for Atlanta.

Nicolas Lodeiro was back from the Copa America last weekend and he showed just how important he is to Seattle by scoring twice and sparking their forward line into life. The rumours this week about his future at the Sounders must be a worry for Brian Schmetzer, but he’s likely to be the major influence this weekend.

Atlanta have lost their last four road MLS games, including an astonishing 5-1 reverse at Chicago in their last away match, and even though they made it through to the Cup semi-finals in midweek, I still feel that the MLS Cup holders should be opposed this time, especially as Seattle are odds against, which I feel misrepresents their chances.

The derby that never sleeps

New York Red Bulls v NYCFC
Sunday, 23:30
Live on Sky Sports Football

The weekend climaxes at Red Bull Arena where the Red Bulls host NYCFC in the first New York derby of the season, and while the teams are hard to separate, with form narrowly favouring NYCFC, I think that the style of Chris Armas’ team means that there’ll be goals on Sunday night.

The Red Bulls 3-3 draw against Atlanta United was a real headline grabber, but in truth we should have seen a scoreline like that coming, as their last six games in all competitions have now featured Over 3.5 Goals. While Dome Torrent and NYCFC have a more circumspect approach, I feel that the Red Bulls aggressive start will define the way that this one plays out.

There’s a lot of attacking talent on either side, and before their last two low scoring outings, NYCFC showed that they can get involved in shootouts, with their games against Columbus, Cincinnati and Philadelphia bearing witness to the fact. Torrent will feel that his team, led by the excellent Heber, can outscore the Red Bulls, and that should set up a classic to round off what looks to be an excellent weekend.

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